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Will New Zealand Keep Easing Rates in 2025?

LUMIX Research Team1 June 2025
RBNZNZDinterest ratesforex

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) surprised markets on Wednesday by cutting its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 3.25% — a move that caught many analysts off guard, who had priced in a pause.

Market Reaction

NZD/USD rallied 0.37% immediately post-announcement as institutions interpreted the cut as a signal of further easing ahead. The yield curve flattened across the short end, with 2-year New Zealand government bonds dropping 12bps on the day.

What This Means for Traders

For forex traders, the divergence between the RBNZ and the Fed — which has held rates steady — creates an interesting carry trade dynamic. Watch NZD/USD on pullbacks to the 0.6120 support zone as a potential entry for trend continuation.

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